Showing posts with label marketocracy. Show all posts
Showing posts with label marketocracy. Show all posts

Marketocracy Portfolio Updated - November 14, 2009


























On a year to date basis, the S&P 500 recorded a 23.67% return, while the Nasdaq secured 37.47% and the Dow notched a 17.02% return. My Marketocracy portfolio obtained a 66.3% return.


Previous update:
http://malaysiafinance.blogspot.com/2009/10/marketocracy-portfolio-update-2-october.html

http://malaysiafinance.blogspot.com/2009/09/marketocracy-portfolio-update-10.html

As mentioned before, the objective of the portfolio was to beat the S&P 500 consistently over time. Modern finance subscribe to the theory that over time stocks offer superior returns - that being the case, as long as you outperform the benchmark index, you will register superior long term performance. Hence it is useful to look at the performance relative to the S&P 500. Over the last 12 months, the outperformance was by 50.96%.

The Salvador Fund (SMF) line in orange. The m100 line is the aggregate performance tracking the top 100 funds in Marketocracy. The comparison is stark but to be fair, this portfolio will need another 1.5 years before we can safely say its a superior long term performer.

Value: $1,198,431.95 Cash: $106,031.15 Stock Value: $1,092,400.80 NAV: $11.98


graph of fund vs. market indexes
SMF m100 S&P 500 DJIA Nasdaq
left curve recent returns vs. major indexes right curve



MTD QTD YTD
SMF 4.39% -3.53% 66.30%
S&P 500 5.66% 3.70% 23.67%
DOW 5.74% 5.75% 17.02%
Nasdaq 6.00% 2.14% 37.47%


recent returns right curve


RETURNS
Last Week 3.61%
Last Month -6.72%
Last 3 Months 2.01%
Last 6 Months 21.32%
Last 12 Months 74.06%
Last 2 Years N/A
Last 3 Years N/A
Last 5 Years N/A
Since Inception 19.84%
(Annualized) 14.86%
S&P500 RETURNS
Last Week 2.33%
Last Month 0.30%
Last 3 Months 9.47%
Last 6 Months 25.18%
Last 12 Months 23.09%
Last 2 Years N/A
Last 3 Years N/A
Last 5 Years N/A
Since Inception -10.08%
(Annualized) -7.81%
RETURNS VS S&P500
Last Week 1.28%
Last Month -7.02%
Last 3 Months -7.45%
Last 6 Months -3.85%
Last 12 Months 50.96%
Last 2 Years N/A
Last 3 Years N/A
Last 5 Years N/A
Since Inception 29.93%
(Annualized) 22.67%



left curve alpha/beta vs. S&P500 right curve


Alpha 32.05%
Beta 1.16
R-Squared 0.79





[download spreadsheet]


Symbol Price Shares Value Portion of Fund Inception Return
BDD $13.74 5,000 $68,716.00 5.73% 43.95%
MGM $10.75 9,500 $102,125.00 8.52% 43.85% Details
STAR $34.03 3,500 $119,105.00 9.94% 42.41% Details
F $8.41 10,000 $84,100.00 7.02% 31.03% Details
PLD $13.60 8,118 $110,404.80 9.21% 23.28% Details
QSII $62.66 1,500 $93,990.00 7.84% 21.29% Details MIDDLE
GE $15.66 4,000 $62,640.00 5.23% 5.74%
NYB $11.52 6,000 $69,120.00 5.77% 5.15%
JEC $43.95 1,500 $65,925.00 5.50% 5.14%
NVDA $13.56 5,000 $67,800.00 5.66% 1.53%
LOW $21.85 3,500 $76,475.00 6.38% 0.46% Details
JNPR $26.15 2,000 $52,300.00 4.36% -1.18% Details
KBW $26.60 4,500 $119,700.00 9.99% -2.03% Details





p/s photos: Jessie Chiang Yu Chen

Marketocracy Portfolio Details



Checking the feedjit live feed, I saw that many of you were interested in the details of the marketocracy portfolio. Hence I have included my recent and past transactions for the past month or so. You will note that I have a much lesser weighting on MGM, BDD and Ford - thats because I do take profits on the way up to lock in gains. Have also sold all of my Bank of America after a 60% gain.



Portfolio as at 3 October 2009:


Symbol Price Shares Portion of Fund Gains Inception Return
MGM $10.71 4,500 4.00% $57,854.44 64.43%
BDD $11.35 5,000 4.71% $31,321.28 31.80% Details
F $6.97 10,000 5.79% $38,279.58 22.55% Details
QSII $61.08 1,500 7.61% $23,182.77 19.32% Details
KBW $31.09 4,500 11.62% $17,729.87 14.51% Details
STAR $24.93 3,500 7.25% $3,620.16 4.33%
NYB $11.42 6,000 5.69% $2,787.27 4.24%
PLD $11.23 8,118 7.57% $1,606.20 1.79%
AGEN $2.07 30,000 5.16% -$3,528.54 -5.38%
LOW $20.36 3,500 5.92% -$4,865.00 -6.39% Details
STEC $27.24 3,000 6.79% -$5,582.90 -6.39% Details
PHM $10.62 8,000 7.06% -$13,368.32 -13.60% Details


Recent transactions for the past month:


Close Date Type Symbol Shares Net Avg. Price Net
Oct 5, 2009 Buy NVDA 3,000 $13.7859 $41,357.75
Oct 5, 2009 Buy JNPR 2,000 $26.4611 $52,922.20
Oct 5, 2009 Buy KEY 10,000 $6.2516 $62,515.55
Sep 24, 2009 Buy STEC 3,000 $29.101 $87,302.90
Sep 21, 2009 Sell BDD 0 $0 $0.00
Sep 21, 2009 Sell MGM 1,500 $12.9497 $19,424.49
Sep 21, 2009 Sell BAC 4,000 $17.2414 $68,965.64
Sep 21, 2009 Sell BDD 0 $0 $0.00
Sep 21, 2009 Sell BAC 0 $0 $0.00
Sep 21, 2009 Sell MGM 2,000 $13.1497 $26,299.32
Sep 16, 2009 Sell ACTG 9,000 $8.9243 $80,319.01
Sep 10, 2009 Buy AGEN 30,000 $2.1876 $65,628.54
Sep 9, 2009 Buy PLD 6,000 $11.0747 $66,448.03
Sep 8, 2009 Sell WFR 4,000 $15.7082 $62,832.90
Sep 8, 2009 Sell BDD 3,000 $12.4594 $37,378.20
Sep 8, 2009 Sell BAC 2,000 $17.0856 $34,171.21
Sep 8, 2009 Buy PLD 2,000 $10.9153 $21,830.61
Sep 8, 2009 Buy LOW 3,500 $21.75 $76,125.00
Sep 8, 2009 Buy PLD 118 $10.85 $1,280.30


1




Current portfolio as it stands today:


Symbol Price Shares Value Portion of Fund Gains Inception Return
MGM $12.04 4,500 $54,180.00 4.43% $63,839.44 71.09%
BDD $11.64 5,000 $58,199.50 4.75% $32,770.78 33.27% Details
F $7.07 10,000 $70,700.00 5.78% $39,279.58 23.14% Details
KBW $32.92 4,500 $148,140.00 12.10% $25,965.00 21.25% Details
QSII $60.32 1,500 $90,480.00 7.39% $22,042.77 18.37% Details
STAR $27.40 3,500 $95,900.00 7.83% $12,265.16 14.67% Details
NYB $11.17 6,000 $67,020.00 5.47% $1,287.27 1.96%
JNPR $26.81 2,000 $53,620.00 4.38% $697.80 1.32%
NVDA $13.88 3,000 $41,640.00 3.40% $282.25 0.68%
KEY $6.25 10,000 $62,500.00 5.11% -$15.55 -0.02%
PLD $11.00 8,118 $89,298.00 7.29% -$260.94 -0.29%
STEC $28.11 3,000 $84,330.00 6.89% -$2,972.90 -3.41% Details
LOW $20.49 3,500 $71,715.00 5.86% -$4,410.00 -5.79% Details
AGEN $2.03 30,000 $60,840.00 4.97% -$4,788.54 -7.30% Details
PHM $10.16 8,000 $81,280.00 6.64% -$17,048.32 -17.34% Details



Marketocracy Portfolio Update - 2 October 2009



For the period ended 31 March 2009, my Marketocracy fund beat 97.8% of the participants. Thankfully, the record for the period ended 30 June 2009 saw my fund improving further to beat 99.4% of the participating funds.

On a year to date basis, the S&P 500 recorded a 16.19% return, while the Nasdaq secured 30.47% and the Dow notched a 8.35% return. My Marketocracy portfolio obtained a 67.09% return.


Previous update:
http://malaysiafinance.blogspot.com/2009/09/marketocracy-portfolio-update-10.html

As mentioned before, the objective of the portfolio was to beat the S&P 500 consistently over time. Modern finance subscribe to the theory that over time stocks offer superior returns - that being the case, as long as you outperform the benchmark index, you will register superior long term performance. Hence it is useful to look at the performance relative to the S&P 500. Over the last 3 months, the fund managed to outperform the S&P 500 by 0.17%; over the past 6 months the outperformance was more pronounced by 20.36% (and these are in percentage points); and over the last 12 months, the outperformance was by 50.47%.

The Salvador Fund line in orange. The m100 line is the aggregate performance tracking the top 100 funds in Marketocracy. The comparison is stark but to be fair, this portfolio will need another 1.5 years before we can safely say its a superior long term performer.

Value: $1,189,962.39 Cash: $184,487.93 Stock Value: $1,005,474.46
NAV: $11.90

graph of fund vs. market indexes
SMF m100 S&P 500 DJIA Nasdaq






left curve recent returns vs. major indexes right curve



Beating QTD YTD
SMF
-3.07% 67.09%
S&P 500 -2.57% 16.19%
DOW -2.09% 8.35%
Nasdaq -3.06% 30.47%


left curve recent returns right curve


RETURNS
Last Week -2.42%
Last Month 5.66%
Last 3 Months 15.66%
Last 6 Months 43.98%
Last 12 Months 41.83%
Last 2 Years N/A
Last 3 Years N/A
Last 5 Years N/A
Since Inception 20.41%
(Annualized) 16.91%
S&P500 RETURNS
Last Week -1.96%
Last Month 3.34%
Last 3 Months 15.49%
Last 6 Months 23.62%
Last 12 Months -8.90%
Last 2 Years N/A
Last 3 Years N/A
Last 5 Years N/A
Since Inception -15.52%
(Annualized) -13.23%
RETURNS VS S&P500
Last Week -0.46%
Last Month 2.32%
Last 3 Months 0.17%
Last 6 Months 20.36%
Last 12 Months 50.74%
Last 2 Years N/A
Last 3 Years N/A
Last 5 Years N/A
Since Inception 35.93%
(Annualized) 30.13%



left curve alpha/beta vs. S&P500 right curve


Alpha 37.09%
Beta 1.17
R-Squared 0.81



left curve turnover right curve


Last Month 26.26%
Last 3 Months 76.70%
Last 6 Months 234.45%
Last 12 Months 383.98%



Symbol Price Shares Portion of Fund Gains Inception Return
MGM $10.71 4,500 4.00% $57,854.44 64.43%
BDD $11.35 5,000 4.71% $31,321.28 31.80% Details
F $6.97 10,000 5.79% $38,279.58 22.55% Details
QSII $61.08 1,500 7.61% $23,182.77 19.32% Details
KBW $31.09 4,500 11.62% $17,729.87 14.51% Details
STAR $24.93 3,500 7.25% $3,620.16 4.33%
NYB $11.42 6,000 5.69% $2,787.27 4.24%
PLD $11.23 8,118 7.57% $1,606.20 1.79%
AGEN $2.07 30,000 5.16% -$3,528.54 -5.38%
LOW $20.36 3,500 5.92% -$4,865.00 -6.39% Details
STEC $27.24 3,000 6.79% -$5,582.90 -6.39% Details
PHM $10.62 8,000 7.06% -$13,368.32 -13.60% Details





p/s photo: Preity Zinta
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